Weighing in the prospects of The Carlyle Group LP CG raising the largest ever North American dedicated buyout fund — and the stock's recent underpeformance — one analyst sees a possible 50-percent return in shares of the company. The Analyst Morgan Stanley analyst Michael Cyprys maintained an Overweight rating and $28 price target for the shares of the company. The Thesis Carlyle's flagship North American buyout fund is close to reaching a cap of $18.5 billion, exceeding the $15 billion target suggested by a recent Bloomberg article, analyst Cyprys said in a Monday note. Carlyle recently guided toward fourth quarter fundraising of 2.5 times the level seen during the third quarter, suggesting a total of about $18 billion, Cyprys said. SourceThere is a good chance to break out the falling channel and form some upside. $CG, The Carlyle Group Inc. / D