Quantcha now offering unlimited commission-free options trading. Quantchabot has detected a promising Short Risk Reversal trade opportunity for TRIUMPH GROUP (TGI) for the 15-Jan-2021 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine. TGI was recently trading at $13.45 and has an implied volatility of 87.97% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for TGI expiring on 15-Jan-2021, there is a 34.12% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $10.59-$13.45 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 41.40%. Trending on StockTwits: StockTwits® is a financial communications platform for the financial and investing community. On their site, TRIUMPH GROUP was recently trending, indicating that breaking news and/or market activity has significantly impacted sentiment toward the stock. This movement can be interpretted as a sign of more near-term price movement for the underlying. Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in TGI on StockTwits appears to be significantly negative, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bearish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading. Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if TRIUMPH GROUP closed at or below $13.90 on 15-Jan-2021. Based on our analysis, there is a 55.46% likelihood of this return. Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment. To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.