Quantcha now offering unlimited commission-free options trading. Quantchabot has detected a promising Short Risk Reversal trade opportunity for NOVAVAX (NVAX) for the 15-Jan-2021 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine. NVAX was recently trading at $87.01 and has an implied volatility of 104.47% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for NVAX expiring on 15-Jan-2021, there is a 34.13% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $56.91-$87.03 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 98.64%. Big -9.93% Change: After closing the last trading session at $96.60, NOVAVAX opened today at $95.70 and has reached a low of $86.88. Trade approach: A movement as big as -9.93% is a significantly bearish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if NVAX maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bullish side of $87.01 on 15-Jan-2021. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit. Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if NOVAVAX closes at or below $105.31 on 15-Jan-2021. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 67.32% likelihood of this return. Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment. To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.