Quantcha now offering unlimited commission-free options trading. Quantchabot has detected a promising Long Risk Reversal trade opportunity for AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC. C (AAL) for the 16-Oct-2020 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine. AAL was recently trading at $14.07 and has an implied volatility of 97.21% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for AAL expiring on 16-Oct-2020, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $14.08-$21.38 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 108.43%. Big 8.02% Change: After closing the last trading session at $13.03, AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC. C opened today at $13.29 and has reached a high of $14.31. Trade approach: A movement as big as 8.02% is a significantly bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if AAL maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $14.07 on 16-Oct-2020. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit. Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC. C closes at or above $13.51 on 16-Oct-2020. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 53.93% likelihood of this return. Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment. To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.