The skeptics who thought the Tesla Model Y reveal timing was "curious" - taking place at a time when the company is under regulatory scrutiny from the SEC and its cash balances are constantly being called into question - likely had a point. But now, they are likely going to have a bigger one: Tesla is now accepting $20,000 deposits on its new Semi, per its website, and also taking $200,000 deposits for its "Founders Series" Semi. The semi has been in testing since 2017 and has been occasionally spotted on the West Coast. This past Sunday, a new reservation page at Tesla.com went live allowing truckers to put down a deposit for the semi. And what would a reservation page for a Semi be without a "Founders Series" option that will cost significantly more? Those that absolutely must do their coast-to-coast trucking in a "Founders Series" edition of the semi (why wound anyone?) would be forced to plunk down a $200,000 deposit. The Semi is said to "start" at $150,000 for 300 miles of range and $180,000 miles for an extended range model with 500 miles of range. We'll believe that when we see them. As a report notes: Tesla did not give any estimated delivery date for customers who order a Semi, and the company faces competition from startup Nikola, which is developing electric and fuel-cell powered semis, as well as from established truckmakers such as Daimler, Volvo, truckmakers and PACCAR, which builds Peterbilts and Kenworths. The team over at Perseid Capital recently did a cashflow analysis of Tesla to try and figure out how dire the cash situation could be. They put together a schedule of “opportunities to fail” between now and the end of May: 3/14 - Payroll Payroll is due Friday, but usually hits accounts Thursday https://twitter.com/ex_Tesla/status/1101993492857798657!function(d,s,id){var js,fjs=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],p=/^http:/.test(d.location)?'http':'https';if(!d.getElementById(id)){js=d.createElement(s);js.id=id;js.src=p+"://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js";fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js,fjs);}}(document,"script","twitter-wjs"); 3/14 - Model Y reveal 3/15 - $11.6M coupon payment on 2022 CV 4/1 - April lease payments 4/1? - $182M Solar City debt repayable I haven’t been able to find an exact date, but most bonds seem due on the 1st 4/2 - Inside EV’s March sales score card 4/11 - Payroll 4/25 - Payroll 5/1 - May lease payments 5/1 - Q1 earnings announcement 5/9 - Payroll 5/23 - Payroll The Perseid analysis disclaims: "Of course, these are just dates that could catalyze a crisis. Tesla could run out of cash at any time or not at all. A powder keg could blow without warning. Creditors and/or the executives could force a bankruptcy tomorrow. Or Elon could really be a genius leading Tesla into the future via a paradigm of 'creative chaos'. No promises." Here are 5 scenarios they modeled for Tesla's cash balance going forward: As for us, we’re sure that the timing of opening these reservations, coming at a point where the company is arguably in the midst of chaos, is just coincidental and has nothing to do with the company's balance sheet.