Market traders keep getting tricked by the same news. Promise and words over an actual deal moved markets, raised volatility but is noise.U.S.-China trade deal is unlikely.The U.S. government is shut-down. 19 days now. If the POTUS backs down, he will be seen by China as weak. And POTUS cannot allow for that. $SPY, SPDR S&P 500 / H1 Ego and such.Alibaba $BABA is an indicator of China stock performance: $BABA, Alibaba Group Holding Limited / H1 With the economy weakening and facing short-term damage due to the shutdown alone, it will be pressured to deal with China.Such delicate matters take time. March 1 is not enough time.No deal by Mar. 1. Agree or disagree? Login now to vote.