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Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) Q1 Earnings: What's Ahead?

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. NCLH is set to release first-quarter 2016 results before the market opens on May 10.

Last quarter, the company delivered a negative earnings surprise of 10.00%. Let’s see how things are shaping up for this announcement.

Factors at Play this Quarter

An improving economy has paved the way for an increase in the disposable income of consumers. This has, in turn, benefitted the cruise industry as positive consumer sentiment is driving demand for leisure and recreational activities.

Recently, the company was authorized to operate its cruise line to Cuba. The entire cruise industry is bullish on Cuba and Norwegian Cruise Line is hoping to grab the opportunity to boost revenues from the route. Norwegian Cruise Line’s competitor, Carnival Corporation CCL was the first.

cruise line to get the necessary clearance for this route. Meanwhile, another rival, Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. RCL stated that it has no plans to venture into Cuba as of now.

Earnings Whispers

Our proven model does not conclusively show that Norwegian Cruise Line is likely to beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate this quarter. This is because a stock needs to have both a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or at least 3 (Hold) for this to happen. Unfortunately, this is not the case here, as elaborated below.

Zacks ESP: Norwegian Cruise Line has an Earnings ESP of 0.00%. This is because both the Most Accurate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate stand at 38 cents.

Zacks Rank: Norwegian Cruise Line carries a Zacks Rank #3, which increases the predictive power of ESP. However, we need to have a positive ESP to be confident of an earnings surprise.

Note that Sell-rated stocks (Zacks Rank #4 or #5) should never be considered going into an earnings announcement, especially when the company is witnessing negative estimate revisions.

A Stock to Consider

Here is a company you may want to consider as our model shows that it has the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat this quarter.

Gener8 Maritime Inc. GNRT with Earnings ESP of +5.8% and a Zacks Rank #3.The company is scheduled to release its first quarter 2016 results on May 11.

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Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report
 
CARNIVAL CORP (CCL): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
ROYAL CARIBBEAN (RCL): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
NORWEGIAN CRUIS (NCLH): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
GENER8 MARITIME (GNRT): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
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