The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising
MAR was recently trading at $93.29 and has an implied volatility of 17.93% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for MAR expiring on 21-Apr-2017, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $93.53-$97.92 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 54.71%.
52 week high: MARRIOT INTERNATIONAL CLASS A recently reached a new 52-week high at $93.94. MAR had traded in the range $60.87-$93.86 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if MAR maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $93.29 on 21-Apr-2017. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if MARRIOT INTERNATIONAL CLASS A closes at or above $93.25 on 21-Apr-2017. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 52.63% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
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This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 3/28/2017 11:21:57 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.