The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising
OCN was recently trading at $5.25 and has an implied volatility of 53.11% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for OCN expiring on 21-Apr-2017, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $5.26-$6.01 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 51.07%.
Big 7.26% Change: After closing the last trading session at $4.89, OCWEN FINANCIAL opened today at $5.16 and has reached a high of $5.32.
Trade approach: A movement as big as 7.26% is a significantly bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if OCN maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $5.25 on 21-Apr-2017. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if OCWEN FINANCIAL closes at or above $5.25 on 21-Apr-2017. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 50.47% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
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This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 3/28/2017 2:21:54 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.