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Falling Earnings Estimates Signal Weakness Ahead for Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI)

Similar to wise buying decisions, exiting certain underperformers at the right time helps maximize portfolio returns. Selling off losers can be difficult, but if both the share price and estimates are falling, it could be time to get rid of the security before more losses hit your portfolio.

One such stock that you may want to consider dropping is Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. AAOI, which has witnessed a significant price decline in the past four weeks, and it has seen negative earnings estimate revisions for the current quarter and the current year. A Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) further confirms weakness in AAOI.

A key reason for this move has been the negative trend in earnings estimate revisions. For the full year, we have seen 3 estimates moving down in the past 30 days, compared to no upward revision. This trend has caused the consensus estimate to trend lower, going from $1.27 per share a month ago to its current level of 79 cents per share.

Also, for the current quarter, Applied Optoelectronics has seen 3 downward estimate revisions versus no revision in the opposite direction, dragging the consensus estimate down to a loss of 1 cent a share from earnings of 20 cents over the past 30 days.   

The stock also has seen some pretty dismal trading lately, as the share price has dropped 29% in the past month.

So it may not be a good decision to keep this stock in your portfolio anymore, at least if you don’t have a long time horizon to wait.

If you are still interested in the Electronic Components-Semiconductor industry, you may instead consider a better-ranked stock - Silicon Motion Technology Corp. SIMO. The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and may be better selection at this time.

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SILICON MOTION (SIMO): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
APPLIED OPTOELE (AAOI): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
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