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Office Depot (ODP): Stock to Disappoint in Q1 Earnings?

Office Depot, Inc. ODP, which supplies a wide range of office products and services, is slated to report first-quarter 2016 results on Apr 26, before the opening bell. Last quarter, the company missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 36.4%. Notably, the company lagged the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the two of the last four quarters, with an average earnings miss of 10.6%. Let’s see how things are shaping up for this announcement.

Factors at Play

Management continues to expect headwinds across product lines and distribution channels. Also, the company’s planned store closures and the strengthening U.S. dollar will hurt sales. Demand for office products (paper-based) has been declining due to technological advancements. Smartphones, tablets and laptops are fast emerging as viable substitutes for paper-based office supplies. Moreover, the company witnessed persistent weakness in the office products sector due to decline in business and consumer spending. This has resulted in sluggish demand for big-ticket items, thereby negatively impacting the top line.

Earnings Whispers

Our proven model does not conclusively show that Office Depot is likely to beat estimates this quarter. This is because a stock needs to have both a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) for this to happen. This is not the case here, as you will see below.

Zacks ESP: Earnings ESP for Office Depot is 0.00%. This is because both the Most Accurate estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate are pegged at 13 cents.

Zacks Rank: Office Depot has a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) which when combined with a 0.00% ESP, makes surprise prediction difficult.

As it is, we caution against Sell-rated stocks (Zacks Rank #4 or 5) going into the earnings announcement, especially when the company is seeing negative estimate revision.

Stocks That Warrant a Look

Here are some other companies you may want to consider as our model shows they have the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat:

Beacon Roofing Supply, Inc. BECN has an Earnings ESP of +33.33% and a Zacks Rank #1.

Coca-Cola Enterprises, Inc. CCE has an Earnings ESP of +2.50% and a Zacks Rank #2.

Cabela's Incorporated CAB has an Earnings ESP of +10.81% and a Zacks Rank #3.

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Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report
 
COCA-COLA ENTRP (CCE): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
BEACON ROOFING (BECN): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
OFFICE DEPOT (ODP): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
CABELAS INC (CAB): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
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