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Why Democratic panic may just be wasted energy

Democrats freaking out over the latest Washington Post/ABC News tracking poll showing Donald Trump with a statistically insignificant 1-point national lead over Hillary Clinton should probably calm down.

Trump is in a better position than he was a week ago. But his path to victory next week remains difficult if not flat out impossible.

First The Washington Post poll is somewhat difficult to believe. It has shown a wild 13-point swing in the race in just eight days, including the period before and after news broke that the FBI would look at some more emails in the probe of Clinton's use of a private email server. That's simply not credible.

The NBC News/Survey Monkey tracking poll over the same period has shown virtually no change and still has Clinton up by 6 points. The Washington Post/ABC poll showed similar slim leads for Mitt Romney in 2012 and John Kerry in 2004. We know how those races turned out.

The best bet for the national numbers is to look at the averages. Clinton's lead is down to 2.2 percent in the RealClear Politics Average and remains at 6.2 percent in the Huffington Post average, which does not include the consistently Trump-friendly Los Angeles Times/USC tracking poll. (The Times/USC poll is actually a static survey of the same group of voters over and over.)

So at the...