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MasterCard's shares will reach $105 by 08.30.2015
31 july 2015

MasterCard (MA), the world's second largest payment system, recently released a strong financial report for Q2 2015. According to the report, revenue rose 0.9% y-o-y (by 7% excluding foreign currency fluctuations) to USD 2.3 bn. A substantial increase in the number of transactions (by 13% to 12 bn) became a revenue growth driver. Total number of transactions (excluding foreign currency fluctuations) increased by 13% to USD 1.1 tn, while the volume of cross-border transactions surged 17%. M&A transactions provided 2 pps growth in total revenue. In addition, 2.2 bn MasterCard cards and Maestro-branded cards were in circulation worldwide at the end of June. Operating profit fell 5% y-o-y to USD 1.35 bn in the reporting period, while adjusted EPS was up 6% y-o-y to 80 cent, matching the consensus.

The company generates a significant cash flow, allowing it to pay generous dividends and buy back its own shares. MasterCard generated operating cash flow of USD 1,732 mn (up 33% y-o-y) over 6 months and spent USD 1,795 mn on the buyback. The company still has USD 2 bn left for buyback. Quarterly dividend reached 16 cents (+46% y-o-y), implying a 0.7% dividend yield.

The company announced the acquisition of Applied Predictive Technologies (APT) for USD 600 mn at the end of April. APT is a leading company in the field of cloud analytics, assisting companies to optimize investments and maximize profits. In our opinion, this acquisition will enable MasterCard to spend money more efficiently and will help it to improve the company's financial performance.

We are still upbeat about MasterCard’s shares and believe that recent M&A transactions, as well as the launch of new products and access to new geographic markets will allow MasterCard to show strong growth of its financial performance going forward. These factors, along with higher dividend and a share buyback, will boost the company’s share price in the short-term.

We raised target price of MasterCard shares to USD 110 and confirm a Buy recommendation in the mid-term. The short-term technical target is USD 105.

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MasterCard's shares will reach $105 by 08.30.2015

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