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Risk Premia Forecasts:February 3rd, 2015

The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index (GMI) continued to tick lower in January. GMI - an unmanaged, market-value weighted mix of the major asset classes - is projected to earn an annualized 3.5% over the "risk-free" rate for the long term. (For details on the equilibrium-based methodology that's used to generate the forecasts, see the summary below). Today's updated estimate, which is based on data through the close of last month, fell 10 basis points from the previous 3.6%…