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Oct 13th - Fed's Evans's expects 3 hikes by end of 2016

EMOTION MOVING MARKETS NOW: 44/100 FEAR

PREVIOUS CLOSE: 44/100 FEAR

ONE WEEK AGO: 32/100 FEAR 
ONE MONTH AGO: 14/100 EXTREME FEAR

ONE YEAR AGO: 1/100 EXTREME FEAR

Put and Call Options: NEUTRAL During the last five trading days, volume in put options has lagged volume in call options by 29.76% as investors make bullish bets in their portfolios. This is a lower level of put buying than has been the norm during the last two years and is a neutral indication.

Market Volatility:  NEUTRAL The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) is at 16.17. This is a neutral reading and indicates that market risks appear low.

Stock Price Strength: FEAR The number of stocks hitting 52-week lows exceeds the number hitting highs and is at the lower end of its range, indicating fear.

 

PIVOT POINTS

EURUSD | GBPUSD | USDJPY | USDCAD | AUDUSD | EURJPY | EURCHF | EURGBPGBPJPY | NZDUSD | USDCHF | EURAUD | AUDJPY 

S&P 500 (ES) | NASDAQ 100 (NQ) | DOW 30 (YM) | RUSSELL 2000 (TF) Euro (6E) |Pound (6B)

EUROSTOXX 50 (FESX) | DAX 30 (FDAX) | BOBL (FGBM) | SCHATZ (FGBS) | BUND (FGBL)

CRUDE OIL (CL) | GOLD (GC) | 10 YR T NOTE | 2 YR T  NOTE | 5 YR T NOTE | 30 YR TREASURY BONDSOYBEANS | CORN

 

MEME OF THE DAY – NO HIKE! TOLD YOU FOOL!

 

UNUSUAL ACTIVITY

MCK OCT 190 CALLS 2k+ @$1.66-1.70

CI OCT 140 Call Activity 1500 @ 0.40 on the offer

RIT 10% Owner P    4,860  A  $ 12.6705   P    16,700  A  $ 12.8423

FXCM .. SC 13G .. Franklin Resources .. 13.5%

NSR .. SC13G Filed .. William Blair Investment Management, LLC .. 11.38%

More Unusual Activity…

HEADLINES

 

S&P sees 2015 U.S. growth at 2.5%, 2016 at 2.8%, and 2017 at 2.7%

S&P sees U.S. Q3 15 CPI at -0.2%, +0.5% in Q4, +2% in Q1 and Q2

Fed's Evans's expects 3 hikes by end of 2016

Fed's Lockhart repeats: Appropriate to hike in 2015, but Fed data-dependent

Fed's Fischer says central bank 'cautious' about next rate hike

US NABE Outlook Survey: Expect 2.5% to 2.8% Growth Though 2016

PBOC's Yi: China's Stock-Market Correction Almost Over

PBOC to let commercial banks use loan assets as collateral

ECB's Coeure Says Too Early To Decide On More Stimulus

ECB's Vasiliauskas: For the Moment, No Need to Fine-Tune QE

BoC Poloz: BoC examining ties between financial stability and monpol

BOE Weale Optimistic Western European Productivity To Rebound

Opec: Oil Market To Rebalance As US Supply Hit

Vix tumbles in longest losing streak since '09

AB InBev raises bid for SABMiller to $103bn

Dell agrees $67bn EMC takeover

Italy plans EUR2.2bn rescue of three small banks

 

GOVERNMENTS/CENTRAL BANKS

Fed's Evans's expects 3 hikes by end of 2016 --ForexLive

Fed's Lockhart repeats: Appropriate to hike in 2015, but Fed data-dependent --Rtrs

Fed's Fischer says central bank 'cautious' about next rate hike --MW

S&P sees 2015 U.S. growth at 2.5%, 2016 at 2.8%, and 2017 at 2.7%

S&P sees U.S. Q3 15 CPI at -0.2%, +0.5% in Q4, +2% in Q1 and Q2

US NABE Outlook Survey: Expect 2.5% to 2.8% Growth Though 2016 --MNI

ECB's Coeure Says Too Early To Decide On More Stimulus --CNBC

ECB's Vasiliauskas: For the Moment, No Need to Fine-Tune QE --WSJ

EU: Spain's Budget Plans Would Break Spending Rules --WSJ

BoC Poloz: BoC examining ties between financial stability and monpol --Rtrs

BOE Weale Optimistic Western European Productivity To Rebound --MNI

UK draws up plan of key demands to stay in EU --Tele

HSBC sees BOE hiking rates by 0.5% in 2016 --ForexLive

U.K. Europe Minister Casts Doubt on Late-2017 Referendum Date --BBG

Riksbank's Floden: Not certain that inflation will rose as forecast --DI via BBG

FIXED INCOME

Bonds biding time for Fed interest rate hike --FT

Dell to add $50bn in debt to acquire EMC --BBG

FX

USD: Fed keeps US dollar on the defensive --Rtrs

GBP: Pound Gains Versus Dollar as Traders Await Signs From BOE, Data --BBG

EUR: Euro Approaches 1.14 vs the dollar --WSJ

AUD: Aussie rises for ninth day on commodities rebound --Age

COMMODITY FX: Resurgent commodity prices push dollar down --Livemint

ENERGY/COMMODITIES

CRUDE: WTI futures settle 5.1% lower at $47.10 per barrel

CRUDE: Brent futures settle 5.3% lower at $49.86 per barrel

CRUDE: Opec: Oil Market To Rebalance As US Supply Hit --FT

CRUDE: Kuwait Oil Minister Says No Calls Within OPEC For Policy Change --CNBC

METALS: Rio Tinto won't follow Glencore in cutting copper output --Australian

METALS: Chile Mining Minister: Not enough copper output cuts to balance the market --BBG

NATGAS: Natural Gas Prices Rise on Colder Forecasts --WSJ

NATGAS: Gazprom Restarts Gas Deliveries to Ukraine --WSJ

EQUITIES

VOL: Vix tumbles in longest losing streak since '09 --FT

M&A: Dell agrees $67bn EMC takeover --BBC

M&A: AB InBev raises bid for SABMiller to $103bn --FT

M&A: SABMiller's fourth largest investor rejects AB InBev offer --Rtrs

M&A: GE nears deal to sell over $30 billion of loans to Wells Fargo --Rtrs

M&A: Allianz sells vending machine operator Selecta to KKR --Rtrs

C&E: Oil Price Slide Puts a Lid on Gains in Other Sectors --WSJ

BANKS: Barclays Close To Naming Jenkins Successor --Sky

BANKS: Italy plans EUR2.2bn rescue of three small banks --Rtrs

BANKS: Three groups bid for $20 bln book of ex-Northern Rock loans --Rtrs

BANKS: DB plans Abbey Life sale to focus on core biz --WSJ

AUTOS: Volkswagen has announced the recall of 1,950 diesel vehicles in China --Sky

AUTOS: S&P Downgrades Volkswagen?s Credit Rating --WSJ

PHARMA: Eli Lilly and China's Innovent Expand Partnership --WSJ

PHARMA: Fitch Affirms Roche at 'AA'; Outlook Stable

Twitter Slides After Report of Potential Layoffs

CON DISC: Tobacco Firms Tried to 'Delay and Derail' UK Plain Packaging Law --WSJ

TECH: Facebook launches new advert gizmo --Rtrs

EMERGING MARKETS

PBOC's Yi: China's Stock-Market Correction Almost Over --MW

PBOC to let commercial banks use loan assets as collateral as a way to boost lending --WSJ

Chinese FinMin Lou Says US Shouldn't Raise Rates Yet --MW

Fitch Affirms Roche At 'AA'; Outlook Stable