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US Factory Orders Rebound; S&P500 Stalling after Another Record High

After two consecutive months of declining factory orders, the March reading rebounded, increasing 1.6%, after a -7% and a -2.0% in February and January respectively. The 1.6% reading was slightly better than forecasts around 1.3%.

Factory Orders numbers have not given the markets anything to go on as data has been oscillating in a volatile manner from a month to month basis in the past couple of years.


(source: forexfactory)

Risk-sentiment remains flat throughout early US trading after the expected ADP jobs data, and this Factory Orders data.

The S&P500 for example is consolidating after a rally from 1840 that pushed the index to a record high of 1889.9.


(S&P500 1H chart, 4/2)

Notice something changing: Last couple of times then stochastic fell from above 80 to below 20, there were strong bearish swings. When it was a strong bearish swing corresponding to the bearish stochastic cycle, the S&P500 extended another push higher.

This time, the market simply stalled and brought the stochastic below 20. This might be a clue that the S&P500 is poised to extend to even higher record highs, though with Friday's US NFP looming, traders might temper with the bullish outlook.