The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising
CAR was recently trading at $37.56 and has an implied volatility of 51.64% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for CAR expiring on 17-Nov-2017, there is a 33.15% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $34.61-$37.58 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 49.99%.
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Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in CAR on StockTwits appears to be significantly negative, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bearish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if AVIS BUDGET GROUP closed at or below $37.65 on 17-Nov-2017. Based on our analysis, there is a 49.89% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
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This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 11/7/2017 10:32:54 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.