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B/E Aerospace (BEAV) Q1 Earnings: Can the Stock Surprise?

B/E Aerospace Inc. BEAV is set to release first-quarter 2016 results before the opening bell on Apr 26. Last quarter, the company delivered a positive earnings surprise of 1.25%. Let’s see how things are shaping up prior to this announcement.

Factors Affecting this Quarter

B/E Aerospace is presently concentrating on the design, development, certification and manufacturing of aircraft cabin interior equipment. During its fourth-quarter earnings call, the company revealed its expectations of earnings and revenue growth in 2016.

According to the International Air Transport Association’s forecast for 2016, global passenger traffic and capacity will climb approximately 7%, while global airline profits will come in at approximately $36.0 billion, reflecting a 10% surge over record profits in 2015. With expectations of such strong growth and profitability, aircraft manufacturers will likely ramp up their production to capitalize on the opportunity. As a result, B/E Aerospace will see increased demand for interior equipment, which will drive its top line in 2016.

When it comes to investor-friendly moves, during the first quarter, the company increased the quarterly dividend on its common stock by 10.5% to 21 cents per share from 19 cents. The company said that it expects to hike the dividend by almost 10% to 84 cents in 2016.

However, on its fourth-quarter earnings call, the company said that the business jet market is witnessing weakness due to the slump in oil prices. The downward trend of the oil prices has negatively impacted key markets for business jets and VIP aircraft, which may hamper the company’s revenues at this segment in 2016.

Surprise History



 

Earnings Whispers

Our proven model does not conclusively show that B/E Aerospace is likely to beat earnings this quarter. That is because a stock needs to have both a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), #2 (Buy) or #3 (Hold) for this to happen. Unfortunately, that is not the case here, as you will see below.

Zacks ESP: B/E Aerospace has a 0.00% Earnings ESP. This is because both the Most Accurate estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate stand at 79 cents.

Zacks Rank: B/E Aerospace’s Zacks Rank #2, when combined with a 0.00% ESP, makes a surprise prediction difficult.

We note that Sell-rated stocks (#4 or #5) should never be considered going into an earnings announcement, especially when the company is seeing negative estimate revisions.

Stocks That Warrant a Look

Here are some companies you may want to consider as our model shows that these have the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat this quarter:

Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. SPR has an Earnings ESP of +6.60% and a Zacks Rank #2. The company will report quarterly results on Apr 29, 2016.

Raytheon Company RTN has an Earnings ESP of +0.74% and a Zacks Rank #3. The company is scheduled to report quarterly results on Apr 28.

Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. HII has an Earnings ESP of +0.47% and a Zacks Rank #3. The company is scheduled to report quarterly results on May 5.

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SPIRIT AEROSYS (SPR): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
B/E AEROSPACE (BEAV): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
RAYTHEON CO (RTN): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
HUNTINGTON INGL (HII): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
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