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BMO Predicts Improvement In Credit Trends, Recommends 7 Stocks

BMO Predicts Improvement In Credit Trends, Recommends 7 Stocks - Citigroup Inc. NYSE:C, CIT Group Inc DEL NYSE:CIT

BMO predicts an improvement in the system-wide fundamental credit quality over the next year-and-a-half and suggests "Value versus Growth" analysis remains the best way to generate investment ideas.

BMO's call comes as the system-wide fundamental credit quality this quarter deteriorated year-over-year for the first time since 2009.

"Despite recent deterioration, our macro-economic regression model (11 factors, R2=71 percent) forecasts system-wide fundamental credit quality improvement through to the end of 2017," analyst James Fotheringham wrote in a note.

In this scenario, following are the BMO's best ideas among U.S. large-cap banks and specialty finance stocks.

Long-Term Ideas

For long-term investors with an investment time horizon of at least two years, BMO recommends:

Short-Term Ideas

For shorter-term investors that employ event-driven strategies, BMO recommends:

Neutral Ideas

For market neutral investors that measure absolute return in the context of price volatility, BMO recommend two pair trades:

DateFirmActionFromTo
Apr 2016Keefe Bruyette & WoodsDowngradesOutperformMarket Perform
Apr 2016JP MorganMaintainsOverweight
Mar 2016BarclaysMaintainsOverweight

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