Zacks
0
All posts from Zacks
Zacks in Our Research. Your Success.,

Should Value Investors Pick Consolidated-Tomoka (CTO) Stock Right Now?

Value investing is easily one of the most popular ways to find great stocks in any market environment. After all, who wouldn’t want to find stocks that are either flying under the radar and are compelling buys, or offer up tantalizing discounts when compared to fair value?

One way to find these companies is by looking at several key metrics and financial ratios, many of which are crucial in the value stock selection process. Let’s put Consolidated-Tomoka Land Co. CTO stock into this equation and find out if it is a good choice for value-oriented investors right now, or if investors subscribing to this methodology should look elsewhere for top picks:

PE Ratio

A key metric that value investors always look at is the Price to Earnings Ratio, or PE for short. This shows us how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings in a given stock, and is easily one of the most popular financial ratios in the world. The best use of the PE ratio is to compare the stock’s current PE ratio with: a) where this ratio has been in the past; b) how it compares to the average for the industry/sector; and c) how it compares to the market as a whole.

On this front, Consolidated-Tomoka has a trailing twelve months PE ratio of 10.47, as you can see in the chart below:

This level actually compares pretty favorably with the market at large, as the PE for the S&P 500 stands at about 20.04. If we focus on the long-term PE trend, Consolidated-Tomoka’s current PE level puts it below its midpoint over the past five years.

Further, the stock’s PE also compares favorably with the industry’s trailing twelve months PE ratio, which stands at 21.52. At the very least, this indicates that the stock is relatively undervalued right now, compared to its peers.

We should also point out that Consolidated-Tomoka has a forward PE ratio (price relative to this year’s earnings) of just 14.98, so it is fair to say that a slightly less value-oriented path may be ahead for Consolidated-Tomoka stock in the near term too.

P/CF Ratio

An often overlooked ratio that can still be a great indicator of value is the price/cash flow metric. This ratio doesn’t take amortization and depreciation into account, so can give a more accurate picture of the financial health in a business.This is a preferred metric to some valuation investors because cash flows are (a) generally less prone to manipulation by the company’s management and (b) are less affected by variation in accounting policies between different companies.

The ratio is generally applied to find out whether a company’s stock is overpriced or underpriced with reference to its cash flows generation potential compared with its competitors. However, it is not commonly used for cross-industry comparison, as the average price to cash flow ratio varies from industry to industry.

In this case, Consolidated-Tomoka’s P/CF ratio of 7.90 is higher than the industry average of 10.12, which indicates that the stock is somewhat overvalued in this respect.

Broad Value Outlook

In aggregate, Consolidated-Tomoka currently has a Zacks Value Style Score of ‘B’, putting it into the top 40% of all stocks we cover from this look. This makes Consolidated-Tomoka a solid choice for value investors, and some of its other key metrics make this pretty clear too.

For example, its P/CF ratio comes in at 6.96, which is far better than the industry average of 7.10. Clearly, CTO is a solid choice on the value front from multiple angles.  

What About the Stock Overall?

Though Consolidated-Tomoka might be a good choice for value investors, there are plenty of other factors to consider before investing in this name. In particular, it is worth noting that the company has a Growth grade of ‘A’ and a Momentum score of ‘A’. This gives CTO a Zacks VGM score—or its overarching fundamental grade—of ‘A’. (You can read more about the Zacks Style Scores here >>)

Meanwhile, the company’s recent earnings estimates have been mixed at best. The current quarter has seen no estimates go higher in the past sixty days compared to one lower, while the full year estimate has seen one up and none down in the same time period.

This has had just a small impact on the consensus estimate though as the current quarter consensus estimate has declined by 12% in the past two months, while the full year estimate has moved higher by 6.6%. You can see the consensus estimate trend and recent price action for the stock in the chart below:

Consolidated-Tomoka Land Co. Price and Consensus

 

Consolidated-Tomoka Land Co. Price and Consensus | Consolidated-Tomoka Land Co. Quote

This somewhat mixed trend is why the stock has just a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) and why we are looking for in-line performance from the company in the near term.

Bottom Line

Consolidated-Tomoka is an inspired choice for value investors, as it is hard to beat its incredible lineup of statistics on this front. However, with a Zacks Rank #3, it is hard to get too excited about this company overall. In fact, over the past two years, the industry has clearly underperformed the broader market, as you can see below:

So, investors might want to wait for the stock’s price to come down and the broader factors to turn favorable in this name first, but once that happens, this stock could be a compelling pick.

More Stock News: Tech Opportunity Worth $386 Billion in 2017

From driverless cars to artificial intelligence, we've seen an unsurpassed growth of high-tech products in recent months. Yesterday's science-fiction is becoming today's reality. Despite all the innovation, there is a single component no tech company can survive without. Demand for this critical device will reach $387 billion this year alone, and it's likely to grow even faster in the future.

Zacks has released a brand-new Special Report to help you take advantage of this exciting investment opportunity. Most importantly, it reveals 4 stocks with massive profit potential. See these stocks now>>


Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report
 
Consolidated-Tomoka Land Co. (CTO): Free Stock Analysis Report
 
To read this article on Zacks.com click here.
 
Zacks Investment Research