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Airlines Have More Room To Run

Airline Stocks: More Room To Run For The Big 4, Peers|AAL, DAL, LUV, UAL

Airline stocks have surged since mid-August on higher bookings, signs of improved capacity discipline in 2017, Berkshire Hathaway Inc (NYSE: BRK.A) (NYSE: BRK.B)'s surprise investments in the sector and a post-election rally in cyclical stocks, Imperial Capital’s Michael Derchin said in a report. He commented that airline shares still appeared “relatively attractive using 2018 estimates.”

Berkshire Hathaway recently purchased stakes in the four largest U.S. airlines: Southwest Airlines Co LUV 0.18%, American Airlines Group Inc AAL 0.29%, United Continental Holdings Inc UAL 0.36% and Delta Air Lines, Inc. DAL 0.5%.

Positive On The Group

Despite the recent run up in U.S. airline stocks, with the XAL Airline Index gaining more than 20 percent year-to-date and reaching a 52-week high on November 21, “we still have a positive view on the group, and would use any pullbacks in prices to add to or initiate new positions in the shares of our favorite ideas – domestically focused, lower cost carriers,” Derchin mentioned.

He named Hawaiian Holdings, Inc. HA 0.48%, Spirit Airlines Incorporated SAVE 0.99%, JetBlue Airways Corporation JBLU 0.77%, Allegiant Travel Company ALGT 1.36% and Southwest Airlines as top picks in the sector.

Price Targets Raised

The analyst raised the one-year price targets based on 2018 estimates.

  • Allegiant: Outperform, price target raised from $160 to $196.
  • American Airlines: In Line, price target raised from $43 to $49.
  • Delta Air Lines: In Line, price target raised from $44 to $52.
  • Hawaiian Holdings: Outperform, price target raised from $62 to $66.
  • JetBlue Airways: Outperform, price target raised from $23 to $26.
  • Southwest Airlines: Outperform, price target raised from $46 to $57.
  • Spirit Airlines: Outperform, price target raised from $58 to $68.

Derchin downgraded the rating on United Continental from Outperform to In Line, while raising the price target from $65 to $76. He maintained In-Line ratings for Alaska Air Group, Inc. ALK 1.04% and Virgin America Inc VA 0.09%, while reiterating their price targets at $84 and $57, respectively.

DateFirmActionFromTo
Aug 2015BarclaysMaintainsOverweight
Jan 2015BarclaysMaintainsOverweight

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