The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising
WTW was recently trading at $13.09 and has an implied volatility of 32.67% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for WTW expiring on 19-Jan-2018, there is a 68.27% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $7.62-$23.43 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 98.77%.
Upside potential: This synthetic long position offers the same potential benefits and liabilities as a long stock position, but at a discount due to the significant premium at-the-money puts are trading at over calls. In this case, the long call position is opened at a strike of $12.00, which is already $1.09 in the money. An out-of-the-money put at the same strike is sold to finance the call, resulting in a net credit of $0.45 per share. The final position can be considered as having a discount of $1.54 per share over the underlying price of $13.09 for a 11.76% total.
Downside risk: This discount is generally a sign of the stock facing considerable short pressure, and may indicate that the stock has become hard to borrow. However, if you have a long view of the underlying over this period, it could be a good opportunity to benefit from the upside at a major discount.
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This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 2/28/2017 10:26:31 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.