The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising
OCLR was recently trading at $9.14 and has an implied volatility of 92.04% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for OCLR expiring on 11-Aug-2017, there is a 33.60% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $7.91-$9.14 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 34.94%.
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Trade approach: The recent sentiment change in OCLR on StockTwits appears to be moderately negative, indicating that the stock is likely to follow in that direction for investors trading on sentiment. As a result, a bearish strategy could prove effective if the sentiment ultimately turns out to drive trading.
Upside potential: Using this bearish strategy, the trade would be profitable if OCLARO closed at or below $9.15 on 11-Aug-2017. Based on our analysis, there is a 49.91% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
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This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 8/2/2017 1:26:08 PM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.