The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising
FCAU was recently trading at $12.10 and has an implied volatility of 33.24% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for FCAU expiring on 15-Sep-2017, there is a 34.14% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $12.15-$13.61 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 33.33%.
52 week high: FIAT CHRYSLER AUTO NV recently reached a new 52-week high at $12.17. FCAU had traded in the range $6.01-$12.07 over the past year.
Trade approach: Reaching a new 52-week high is a bullish indicator, so this trade is designed to be profitable if FCAU maintains its current direction and does not revert back to pricing on the bearish side of $12.10 on 15-Sep-2017. If possible, the trade has been padded such that slight movement against the trade would still return a profit.
Upside potential: Using this bullish strategy, the trade would be profitable if FIAT CHRYSLER AUTO NV closes at or above $11.75 on 15-Sep-2017. Based on our risk-neutral analysis, there is a 61.54% likelihood of this return.
Downside risk: As with any options trade, there is a substantial downside risk where you may lose most or all of your investment.
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This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 8/1/2017 10:57:00 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.