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Synthetic Long Discount Alert: BP PRUDHOE BAY $BPT trading at a 13.96% discount for the 15-Dec-2017 expiration

The automated Quantcha Trade Ideas Service has detected a promising Synthetic Long Stock trade opportunity for BP PRUDHOE BAY (BPT) for the 15-Dec-2017 expiration period. You can analyze the opportunity in depth over at the Quantcha Options Search Engine.

BPT was recently trading at $19.70 and has an implied volatility of 16.11% for this period. Based on an analysis of the options available for BPT expiring on 15-Dec-2017, there is a 68.27% likelihood that the underlying will close within the analyzed range of $13.95-$25.94 at expiration. In this scenario, the average linear return for the trade would be 45.93%.

Upside potential: This synthetic long position offers the same potential benefits and liabilities as a long stock position, but at a discount due to the significant premium at-the-money puts are trading at over calls. In this case, the put position is opened at a strike of $20.00, which is already $0.30 in-the-money. However, its sale more than offsets this moneyness and the cost of the long call that the trade results in a net credit of of $3.05 per share. The final position can be considered as having a discount of $2.75 per share over the underlying price of $19.70 for a 13.96% total.

Downside risk: This discount is generally a sign of the stock facing considerable short pressure, and may indicate that the stock has become hard to borrow. However, if you have a long view of the underlying over this period, it could be a good opportunity to benefit from the upside at a major discount.

To analyze this trade in depth, please visit the Quantcha Options Search Engine.


This is an automated post generated based on a market analysis of delayed data at 8/4/2017 9:36:03 AM ET. The analysis does not include brokerage fees or commissions and is not investment advice.