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Is Deutsche Lufthansa a Great Stock for Value Investors?

Value investing is easily one of the most popular ways to find great stocks in any market environment. After all, who wouldn’t want to find stocks that are either flying under the radar and are compelling buys, or offer up tantalizing discounts when compared to fair value?

One way to find these companies is by looking at several key metrics and financial ratios, many of which are crucial in the value stock selection process. Let’s put Deutsche Lufthansa AG DLAKY stock into this equation and find out if it is a good choice for value-oriented investors right now, or if investors subscribing to this methodology should look elsewhere for top picks:

PE Ratio

A key metric that value investors always look at is the Price to Earnings Ratio, or PE for short. This shows us how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings in a given stock, and is easily one of the most popular financial ratios in the world. The best use of the PE ratio is to compare the stock’s current PE ratio with: a) where this ratio has been in the past; b) how it compares to the average for the industry/sector; and c) how it compares to the market as a whole.

On this front, Deutsche Lufthansa has a trailing twelve months PE ratio of 5.44, as you can see in the chart below:

This level actually compares pretty favorably with the market at large, as the PE for the S&P 500 compares in at about 19.85. If we focus on the stock’s long-term PE trend, the current level puts Deutsche Lufthansa’s current PE ratio below its midpoint over the past five years, with the number having risen rapidly over the past few months

Further, the stock’s PE also compares favorably with the broader industry’s trailing twelve months PE ratio, which stands at 10.84. At the very least, this indicates that the stock is relatively undervalued right now, compared to its peers.

We should also point out that Deutsche Lufthansa has a forward PE ratio (price relative to this year’s earnings) of 6.50, which is tad higher than the current level. So it is fair to expect an increase in the company’s share price in the near term.

P/S Ratio

Another key metric to note is the Price/Sales ratio. This approach compares a given stock’s price to its total sales, where a lower reading is generally considered better. Some people like this metric more than other value-focused ones because it looks at sales, something that is far harder to manipulate with accounting tricks than earnings.

Right now, Deutsche Lufthansa has a P/S ratio of about 0.29. This is significantly lower than the S&P 500 average, which comes in at 3.13 right now. Also, as we can see in the chart below, this is well below the highs for this stock in particular over the past few years.

If anything, DLAKY is towards the higher end of its range in the time period from a P/S metric, which suggests that the company’s stock price has already appreciated to some degree, relative to its sales.

Broad Value Outlook

In aggregate, Deutsche Lufthansa currently has a Value Style Score of ‘A’, putting it into the top 20% of all stocks we cover from this look. This makes Deutsche Lufthansa a solid choice for value investors.

What About the Stock Overall?

Though Deutsche Lufthansa might be a good choice for value investors, there are plenty of other factors to consider before investing in this name. In particular, it is worth noting that the company has a Growth grade of ‘D’ and a Momentum score of ‘B’. This gives DLAKY a Zacks VGM score—or its overarching fundamental grade—of ‘B’. (You can read more about the Zacks Style Scores here >>)

Meanwhile, the company’s recent earnings estimates have been favorable. Both the current year and next year have seen one estimate go higher in the past sixty days compared to no lower.

This has had a manifold impact on the consensus estimate though as the current year consensus estimate has risen by 30% in the past two months, while the next year estimate has increased by 13.4%. You can see the consensus estimate trend and recent price action for the stock in the chart below:

Deutsche Lufthansa AG Price and Consensus

 

Deutsche Lufthansa AG Price and Consensus | Deutsche Lufthansa AG Quote

This positive trend signifies bullish analyst sentiment, and its Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) indicates robust fundamentals and expectations of outperformance in the near term.

Bottom Line

Deutsche Lufthansa is an inspired choice for value investors, as it is hard to beat its incredible lineup of statistics on this front. Furthermore, a strong industry rank (among Top 13% of more than 250 industries) and a Zacks Rank #1, instills our confidence on the stalk.

However, over the past two years, the broader industry has clearly underperformed the broader market, as you can see below:

We believe, despite an unsatisfactory past industry performance, a good industry and Zacks rank signal that the stock is likely to benefit from favorable broader factors in the immediate future. Add to this robust value metrics, and we believe that we have a strong value contender in Deutsche Lufthansa.

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